Archive for the ‘Cameco’ Category

No improvement in sight for uranium mining investment

January 29, 2012

Uranium miners still waiting on that rebound, TIM KILADZE, Globe and Mail , January 24, 2012 When stocks of uranium miners plummeted after last March’s traumatizing Japanese earthquake, some people expected a rebound once the market’s initial shocks and fears subsided.

They’re still waiting.

Close to a year after the earthquake, shares of Cameco Corp. (CCO-T23.54-0.25-1.05%) are still down 40 per cent and smaller rivals are faring just as badly, with Denison Mines (DML-T1.89-0.12-5.97%) down about 50 per cent. The death knell apparently came when Germany declared a retreat from nuclear energy.

Are these miners doomed for good? Depends on who you ask. Investors are clearly too scared to go near the industry, considering the stocks have moved very little since their initial free fall. (Check out a stock chart for the past year.
Quite scary.) But the companies themselves keep saying that everyone has it wrong.

Cameco chief financial officer Grant Isaac repeated this view when he sat down at CIBC World Market’s Whistler conference last week….. there’s still a major problem. Even if Cameco is bullish over the next decade, its consumers, particularly utilities, like to secure long-term supply contracts, and Cameco can’t talk long-term contracts when they would have to lock-in at today’s prices.

So for now, Cameco is touting plans to increase production. Mr. Isaac said Cameco is sitting on 1 billion pounds of reserves and resources, and the firm wants to bump production from 2 per cent of this a year to 4 per cent.

On this front, investors are cautious. Much of this growth centres on developing the second shaft of Cameco’s Cigar Lake project in northern Saskatchewan, and it’s been plagued with problems…..
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/investment-ideas/streetwise/uranium-miners-still-waiting-on-that-rebound/article2313513/

Cameco uranium mining company’s poor performance record

January 29, 2012

Cameco (CCJ) Downgraded by Zacks Investment Research to “Underperform”, Localised USA, Jan 10th, 2012 Cameco (NYSE: CCJ) was downgraded by equities research analysts at Zacks Investment Research from a “neutral” rating to an “underperform” rating in a research note issued to investors on Tuesday.

Cameco Corporation (Cameco) is a Canada-based company. The Company and its subsidiaries are primarily engaged in the exploration for and the development, mining, refining, conversion and fabrication of uranium for sale as fuel for generating electricity in nuclear power reactors in Canada and other countries. Cameco has three reportable segments: uranium, fuel services and electricity.

The company has a 31.6% interest in Bruce Power L.P. (BPLP). Cameco’s uranium joint venture interests are comprised of McArthur River, Rabbit Lake, Cree Extension Millenium, Moon Lake, Dawn Lake, Read Lake and Virgin River. Cameco’s projects include Kintyre Uranium Exploration Project (Kintyre) and GoviEx Uranium (GoviEx). Kintyre project is located in the East Pilbara region of Western Australia. Cameco holds 12% interest in GoviEx. Its wholly owned subsidiary is Global Laser Enrichment LLC (GLE).

Uranium prices falling steadily over past year

January 2, 2012

Fukushima affects uranium stocks, Star Tribune, 18 DecShare prices of global uranium majors continue to suffer the aftereffects of an earthquake and tsunami that rocked Japan’s Fukushima nuclear power plant last March.
That’s the assessment of Sydney, Australia-based Resource Capital Research, which noted share prices for selected companies have declined substantially.
An analysis noted that Cameco shares declined by nearly 50 percent over the past year, while Uranium One shares had dropped by nearly 45 percent. Energy Resources of Australia stock fell by 82.1 percent.
“The Merril Lynch Uranium Equity Index (a global basket of uranium equities) is down 2 percent over the past month, down 7 percent over three months and down 54 percent over the past 12 months,” the firm said in a report earlier this month. …..
The uranium spot price was pegged at $52.25, down from $67.75 prior to the Fukushima disaster. In the near-term, Resource Capital Research said Fukushima will continue to weigh on the market, “including Germany’s decision to
close reactors and the potential for disposal of surplus utility inventory.”…..

Uranium sales lag, while stocks build up

November 28, 2011

Uranium Stocks Build Momentum but Prices Remain Weak,  Equity Research on Cameco Corp & Denison Mines NEW YORK, NY, Nov 24, 2011 (MARKETWIRE via COMTEX) — “………While uranium stocks are on the upswing on long term optimism and takeover speculation, the spot price for uranium remains low. The spot uranium price dropped to slightly below $53 a pound U3O8, according to price publishers TradeTech and Ux Consulting, as little new buying interest emerged over the past week in the spot uranium market. Ux noted in its Monday report that a number of buyers and sellers already have met their volume expectations for the year — not surprising given volume levels posted since July…..

Cameco Corp reported…net profit fell 60 percent ….. Denison Mines  As a result of the events in Japan in March 2011, the uranium spot market demand has declined and the price has been trading in a range of $50.00 to $55.00 per pound. In response to these weaker market conditions, Denison has deferred uranium sales to later in the year.

Future looking crook for uranium market

November 28, 2011

Canada’s Cameco, the world’s biggest uranium miner by market value, has seen its share price tumble 48 per cent since the beginning of March.

A drop in supply may also be met by a drop in demand, according to UxC. “The reduction in uranium demand will extend to the longer term as some of the reactors taken offline will be permanently shut down,” it says in its report. “In addition, other new reactors under construction or planned will likely be delayed, leading to a further reduction in demand.”….

Uranium miners hamstrung by price and demand By William MacNamara, FT.com November 16, 2011  The uranium industry, suppliers of the fuel that powers nuclear plants, is processing a few hard numbers.

These start with the benchmark spot price for uranium. Since the Fukushima disaster in March, when the price was hovering about $70 per pound, uranium has fallen to a range of $50-$55 per pound. The costs of extracting uranium are rising, and lower prices are affecting producers’ profitability and plans to invest in future supply. (more…)

Cameco cuts back uranium production as profits fall with declining prospects for nuclear power

November 28, 2011

Cameco reduces production forecast, Globe and Mail, BRENDA BOUW — MINING REPORTER, VANCOUVER, Nov. 07, 2011 Uranium giant Cameco Corp.  lowered its annual production forecast and reported third-quarter financial results below expectations amid continuing upheaval in the nuclear power industry.

Saskatoon-based Cameco, in a bidding war with Rio Tinto PLC for Hathor Exploration Ltd. during the current uranium price slump, cited “unfavourable market conditions” for the earnings underperformance…..

Production of uranium used to fuel nuclear power plants fell 5 per cent to 5.3 million pounds in the quarter, and for the year it is expected to drop 1 per cent to 21.7 million pounds, Cameco said. It also lowered guidance for UF6, a compound used to make enriched uranium, by 6 per cent….

profit fell 60 per cent…… Cameco shares closed down 6.5 per cent to $20.35 on the Toronto Stock Exchange on Monday, a sign investors are worried that Cameco will continue to suffer from volatility in the sector following the Japanese nuclear disaster.

“We expect the current uncertainly in the uranium market to linger for the near to medium term,” Mr. Gitzel warned.

Driving industry concerns are forecasts for excess uranium inventories in Japan and Germany, which represent 12 and 5 per cent of global nuclear generating capacity, respectively. Germany is phasing out its nuclear program, and Japan is operating only 11 of its 54 reactors since a tsunami and earthquake destroyed its Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant this past March…..

China, too, is slowing its rapid nuclear power expansion plans as it takes extra measures to ensure its facilities are safe….

Uranium mining companies share losses average 27% over past year!

October 9, 2011

Over the last month, these companies have lost between 25 and 29 percent, and they have lost between 57 and 84 percent so far this year. These significant losses proliferate uranium miners and producers, as can be seen from the Global X Uranium ETF (URA), which tracks the Solactive Uranium Index and is down over 60% so far this year…..

An Abysmal Month For Uranium Producers Extends Their 2011 Pain, Seeking Alpha 4 Oct 11, The uranium industry is not what it used to be, nor are the share values of the uranium producers. This may well go down as the worst year for uranium in the modern era, even though several nuclear power experts continue to claim that uranium use is sensible and safe.

This first quarter of 2011 started off with Japanese nuclear concerns following the destruction caused by the earthquake and tsunami that hit the nation, and uranium prices entered a tailspin shortly thereafter. In the wake of tsunami, Germany opted to discontinue nuclear power plant development and reveal plans to eventually eliminate nuclear power as an energy source.

It also appears likely that Japan may be hesitant to build more nuclear power plants in the near future. For many years, Japan and Germany have been significant users of nuclear power. This perceived vacuum to demand weakened the price of uranium. It also weakened the shares of those companies that produce and/or provide uranium…..

In the third quarter, which just ended last week, uranium and its producers continued to drop along with the broader market, only mostly to a broader extent as the investment was deemed more and more speculative. Most uranium producers ended the third quarter at their 2011 lows.

Below are the 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, and 2011-to-date performance rates for several companies that mine and/or provide uranium for energy production:

Cameco Corp. (CCJ)

  • 1-month: -23.12%
  • 3-month: -34.67%
  • 6-month: -43.28%
  • 2011-to-date: -57.10%

Denison Mines Corp. (DNN)

  • 1-month: -39.35%
  • 3-month: -49.18%
  • 6-month: -62.25%
  • 2011-to-date: -72.51%

Uranerz Energy Corp. (UEC)

  • 1-month: -25.78%
  • 3-month: -23.14%
  • 6-month: -40.99%
  • 2011-to-date: -60.42%

Uranium Resources, Inc. (URRE)

  • 1-month: -48.28%
  • 3-month: -66.75%
  • 6-month: -73.40%
  • 2011-to-date: -83.56%

USEC Inc. (USU)

  • 1-month: -40.28%
  • 3-month: -63.82%
  • 6-month: -71.65%
  • 2011-to-date: -79.56%

Over the last month, these companies have lost between 25 and 29 percent, and they have lost between 57 and 84 percent so far this year. These significant losses proliferate uranium miners and producers, as can be seen from the Global X Uranium ETF (URA), which tracks the Solactive Uranium Index and is down over 60% so far this year…..

the future of nuclear power may not rely upon uranium so much as thorium. If such a switch to thorium were to occur, it would have a devastating effect upon uranium prices and miners that are focused on uranium. Nonetheless, such technology is not yet here and experts differ on whether it will be an eventual option or remain a pipe-dream.

It should be expected that this industry will continue to exhibit high risk/reward characteristics, and that investment allocations should be limited accordingly.

Cameco, Denison, Uranium One, Paladin – uranium share prices falls down 27%

October 4, 2011

Shares of Denison Mines and Uranium Resources Face Strong Downward Pressure, MarketWatch, NEW YORK, NY, Sep 30, 2011 (MARKETWIRE via COMTEX)-- Uranium stocks have struggled this month as prices for the radioactive material have plunged. According to the latest quarterly report by Resource Capital Research, uranium prices are down 27 per cent over the past three months and 23 per cent over the past year….

Uranium explorers that suffered double-digit share price percentage falls in the past one to three months include Cameco, Denison Mines, Uranium One and Paladin….
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/shares-of-denison-mines-and-uranium-resources-face-strong-downward-pressure-2011-09-30?reflink=MW_news_stmp

World’s largest uranium miner has big drop in revenue

August 14, 2011

Cameco is the largest player in the highly volatile uranium space……Apart from causing a massive impact in Japan’s economy, as well as disrupting global supply chains, the Fukushima Daiichi incident has put the uranium industry in an existential moment.

Cameco Sinks As Sales Drop Post-Fukushima – - Forbes, 4 Aug 11, As the nuclear energy and uranium businesses recover from the crisis that was the Fukushima Daiichi accident in Japan, Cameco posted second-quarter earnings that reveal big drops in revenue and profit. Despite hitting expectations, Cameco’s earnings sparked a sell-off given a more bearish look on their industry, …..

Revenue at the Canadian-headquartered uranium company fell 22% to $439 million on falling sales volume and the “variability of uranium demand.”  The company also noted the average cost of product sold increased, despite higher prices.  Cameco expects sales to be heavily weighted toward the second half of the year.

Cameco is the largest player in the highly volatile uranium space……
Apart from causing a massive impact in Japan’s economy, as well as disrupting global supply chains, the Fukushima Daiichi incident has put the uranium industry in an existential moment. (Read Uranium And Nuclear Stocks Fell The Shock Waves Of Fukushima Meltdown).
…….. Public outbursts against nuclear energy have caused Germany to wind down much of its nuclear program; Germany, with 17 reactors, represents 5% of global generating capacity….
Shares in Cameco fell precipitously, as the company lowered its long term forecasts for the industry.  By noon in New York, the uranium producer was trading down 4.6% or $1.17 to $24.55, below both its 200- and 50-day moving averages….
Cameco Sinks As Sales Drop Post-Fukushima – Agustino Fontevecchia – Moral Hazard – Forbes

BHP, Cameco feel the pain of falling uranium prices

May 30, 2011

BHP to feel uranium slide, Barry Fitzgerald, Sydney Morning Herald, May 9, 2011 THE partial meltdown of the Fukushima nuclear power plant in March has prompted leading uranium producer Cameco to cut its demand forecasts for the nuclear fuel. The cut has implications for BHP Billiton, which must find a home for the additional uranium it will produce with its planned $30 billion expansion of the Olympic Dam copper/uranium/gold mine in South Australia’s outback. (more…)


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