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Social Sciences Board Member İlhan: According to this algorithm, provinces will be inspected every 2 weeks.

After the last Cabinet Meeting, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced that he will gradually switch to new normals.

Ministry of Health Corona virus Social Sciences Board Member and Gazi University Faculty of Medicine Dean Prof. Dr. Mustafa Necmi İlhan evaluated the process of transition to new normals.

Prof. Dr. “Some of our regions seem to be more risky,” İlhan said in a statement. Especially our Black Sea region. Beyond that, a large part of our country is obviously among the low-risk or high-risk groups that we call yellow and orange. Measures to be taken are determined according to these provinces. We have provinces that are blue. Turkey has blue all over our province. Although there is some clustering in the Southeastern and Eastern Anatolia Regions, for example, when we look at it, we can think of Uşak as blue. This algorithm is of course not just an algorithm for normalization. According to this algorithm, provinces will be audited every 2 weeks. If our provinces, which are blue today, do not obey the rules, do not wear masks, do not comply with physical distance, do not pay attention to many components such as hand hygiene, body hygiene, if they do not obey the rules, it may be possible that those provinces will immediately turn towards yellow, from there to orange or even red. At the same time, whether it is within our provinces, whether in our red or blue provinces, the Provincial Sanitation Boards can take the restrictions they deem necessary and put different practices into effect.


Stating that not only the number of cases per hundred thousand but also many different factors such as the intensive care occupancy rate were examined in order to lift the restrictions, Scientific Committee Member Prof. Dr. İlhan said, “We have to say that the transitivity between provinces is also very important here. When we look at it, we observe that, in general, neighboring provinces are in a similar risk group. Then, our citizens should limit the transitivity between provinces in this process. In fact, the approach that “my neighboring city is blue, I will go there, I will wander a little” should not be approached. Because if they go here, that city will also be red. The virus will spread across the country again. These approaches should be abandoned. Likewise, our provinces with dark colors know themselves that they are risky. Provincial Sanitation Committees will be able to take decisions both in their own provinces and in neighboring provinces through meetings attended by the administrators of that province, such as governors, provincial health directors. For example, our provinces with dark colors can come together and decide whether the transitivity between provinces is too high in this region, why the cases are so high. Or if the color of one of our provinces is lighter among other provinces, how could this success be achieved, how is it going, how can it be an example to other provinces? They can also be looked at, ”he said.


Drawing attention to the importance of transition and mobility between provinces in normalization, Prof. Dr. İlhan said, “If our provinces can restrict mobility, if our citizens do not make the crossings between provinces, I think the number of red provinces will decrease after 15 days. There may be an increasing tendency towards a lower group. Reds may go towards orange, oranges towards yellow, and yellows towards blue. Our hard-working provinces can switch from orange to blue. That’s why we all need to say ‘more effort’ ”.

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