In the third wave, which started with the spring months, changes in the general course of both the mutant virus and the pandemic were detected.
The number of cases is increasing by 5 percent every day. This figure reached around 20 percent per day in November-December, when the second wave was experienced. Also, the transmission rate of the disease increased by a third due to the mutant virus. The number of cases is expected to reach a plateau after 50,000 and then decline.
According to the report of Nuray Babacan from Hürriyet newspaper, some experts claim that the numbers will increase even more. According to the government’s evaluations on data and developments, a plateau will be reached within two to three weeks. During the Ramadan period, social mobility will slow down with the effect of both rules and fasting. The positive effects of this slowdown will be seen.
Due to the course of the pandemic, it is evaluated that November-December rules may be reversed and a weekend ban may be implemented in all provinces. According to the data, there has been a large increase in household contamination. The symptoms of the cases in the last days have also changed. It is stated that the applications to the clinics come with flu symptoms such as sneezing and runny nose, and the test result is Covid-19. It was also observed that citizens, therefore, mostly applied to ear-nose-throat services.
While the effect is generally expected to be seen within 10-14 days when the restrictions are removed, the effect has started to appear within a week in the last period. It is stated that the average age of those who apply to health institutions due to illness is between 50-60. It was noted that the number of active cases was based on 350 thousand, and the rate of test cases approached 20 percent. It is stated that the rate of severe patients among active patients staying at 0.70 percent is important in terms of decreasing the number of serious patients.